Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 18
GostivarHOME · -
86 : 642023.03.20 · 종료
KumanovoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.6%
VALUE EDGE+81.6%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADES
GostivarAnalysis MetricsKumanovo
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.75
164.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.58
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gostivar
W · 72-79W · 87-79L · 70-72L · 98-63L · 91-77
Kumanovo
L · 68-88L · 104-70W · 73-68L · 94-76L · 63-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.20 | Gostivar | 86 : 64 | Kumanovo |
| 2022.11.28 | Kumanovo | 82 : 70 | Gostivar |
| 2022.01.23 | Kumanovo | 84 : 96 | Gostivar |
| 2021.10.10 | Gostivar | 85 : 72 | Kumanovo |
| 2021.02.28 | Kumanovo | 81 : 73 | Gostivar |
| 2021.01.21 | Gostivar | 91 : 83 | Kumanovo |
| 2019.05.12 | Kumanovo | 81 : 88 | Gostivar |
| 2019.04.21 | Gostivar | 86 : 84 | Kumanovo |
| 2019.01.27 | Gostivar | 81 : 78 | Kumanovo |
| 2018.10.15 | Kumanovo | 75 : 63 | Gostivar |