Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 17
KumanovoHOME · -
68 : 882023.03.15 · 종료
MZT SkopjeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.9%
VALUE EDGE+52.9%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
KumanovoAnalysis MetricsMZT Skopje
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-15.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.33
174.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.67
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
11.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation2.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kumanovo
L · 104-70W · 73-68L · 94-76L · 63-72W · 86-91
MZT Skopje
L · 93-86W · 63-88W · 87-82W · 89-73W · 102-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.15 | Kumanovo | 68 : 88 | MZT Skopje |
| 2022.11.23 | MZT Skopje | 86 : 72 | Kumanovo |
| 2022.02.03 | Kumanovo | 65 : 70 | MZT Skopje |
| 2021.10.23 | MZT Skopje | 86 : 71 | Kumanovo |
| 2021.05.22 | Kumanovo | 99 : 95 | MZT Skopje |
| 2021.05.20 | MZT Skopje | 88 : 71 | Kumanovo |
| 2021.05.06 | MZT Skopje | 76 : 83 | Kumanovo |
| 2021.04.10 | Kumanovo | 87 : 93 | MZT Skopje |
| 2019.05.16 | MZT Skopje | 92 : 57 | Kumanovo |
| 2019.04.26 | Kumanovo | 80 : 87 | MZT Skopje |