Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Macedonia · 17

StrumicaHOME · -

72 : 792023.03.12 · 종료

GostivarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY73.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 73.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +73.2%

VALUE EDGE+73.2%

FAIR ODDS1.37

GRADEB

StrumicaAnalysis MetricsGostivar

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-2.83 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58

162.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.58

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

26.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

73.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Strumica

L · 63-88L · 77-101L · 85-71L · 53-104L · 89-72

Gostivar

W · 87-79L · 70-72L · 98-63L · 91-77W · 88-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.12	Strumica	72 : 79	Gostivar
2022.11.20	Gostivar	102 : 80	Strumica
2018.03.25	Gostivar	94 : 49	Strumica
2017.12.18	Strumica	60 : 92	Gostivar