Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 16
GostivarHOME · -
87 : 792023.03.05 · 종료
FMP AkademijaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.1%
VALUE EDGE+76.1%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADES
GostivarAnalysis MetricsFMP Akademija
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.33
164.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.33
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gostivar
L · 70-72L · 98-63L · 91-77W · 88-69L · 117-87
FMP Akademija
L · 86-102L · 81-67L · 76-96L · 108-103L · 92-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.16 | FMP Akademija | 82 : 102 | Gostivar |
| 2023.11.26 | Gostivar | 90 : 92 | FMP Akademija |
| 2023.03.05 | Gostivar | 87 : 79 | FMP Akademija |
| 2022.11.06 | FMP Akademija | 83 : 93 | Gostivar |
| 2022.03.28 | FMP Akademija | 82 : 70 | Gostivar |
| 2021.12.06 | Gostivar | 64 : 70 | FMP Akademija |
| 2021.01.25 | Gostivar | 92 : 81 | FMP Akademija |
| 2020.11.01 | FMP Akademija | 84 : 75 | Gostivar |