Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 16
PelisterHOME · -
104 : 702023.03.04 · 종료
KumanovoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.4%
VALUE EDGE+79.4%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
PelisterAnalysis MetricsKumanovo
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-5.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.75
151.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.58
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pelister
L · 86-79W · 79-70W · 77-101W · 81-67W · 79-88
Kumanovo
W · 73-68L · 94-76L · 63-72W · 86-91L · 71-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.04 | Pelister | 104 : 70 | Kumanovo |
| 2022.11.07 | Kumanovo | 78 : 81 | Pelister |
| 2022.03.08 | Kumanovo | 60 : 79 | Pelister |
| 2021.11.06 | Pelister | 97 : 71 | Kumanovo |
| 2021.03.22 | Kumanovo | 81 : 73 | Pelister |
| 2020.12.17 | Pelister | 113 : 75 | Kumanovo |
| 2019.03.10 | Kumanovo | 87 : 75 | Pelister |
| 2018.11.10 | Pelister | 67 : 87 | Kumanovo |
| 2018.03.18 | Pelister | 83 : 82 | Kumanovo |
| 2017.12.03 | Kumanovo | 93 : 73 | Pelister |