Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 15
FMP AkademijaHOME · -
86 : 1022023.02.14 · 종료
MZT SkopjeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.0%
VALUE EDGE+56.0%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
FMP AkademijaAnalysis MetricsMZT Skopje
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-15.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.33
165.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.67
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation5.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Akademija
L · 81-67L · 76-96L · 108-103L · 92-63L · 84-91
MZT Skopje
L · 93-84W · 91-87W · 79-74L · 103-85L · 88-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.31 | FMP Akademija | 67 : 105 | MZT Skopje |
| 2023.12.08 | MZT Skopje | 79 : 72 | FMP Akademija |
| 2023.02.14 | FMP Akademija | 86 : 102 | MZT Skopje |
| 2022.11.01 | MZT Skopje | 77 : 58 | FMP Akademija |
| 2022.04.09 | FMP Akademija | 87 : 98 | MZT Skopje |
| 2021.12.24 | MZT Skopje | 96 : 70 | FMP Akademija |
| 2021.04.01 | MZT Skopje | 95 : 61 | FMP Akademija |
| 2021.03.14 | FMP Akademija | 85 : 73 | MZT Skopje |