Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Macedonia · 15

StrumicaHOME · -

77 : 1012023.02.12 · 종료

PelisterAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME20.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY79.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +79.1%

VALUE EDGE+79.1%

FAIR ODDS1.26

GRADEA

StrumicaAnalysis MetricsPelister

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-2.83 Point MarginHigher is better -5.17

162.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.67

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

5.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

20.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

79.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Strumica

L · 85-71L · 53-104L · 89-72L · 97-92W · 90-85

Pelister

W · 81-67W · 79-88L · 75-69W · 77-75W · 71-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.12	Strumica	84 : 69	Pelister
2023.02.12	Strumica	77 : 101	Pelister
2022.10.31	Pelister	114 : 101	Strumica
2018.05.05	Pelister	80 : 70	Strumica
2018.04.19	Strumica	63 : 83	Pelister
2018.03.10	Strumica	53 : 60	Pelister
2017.11.18	Pelister	76 : 86	Strumica