Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 14
PelisterHOME · -
81 : 672023.02.06 · 종료
FMP AkademijaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.1%
VALUE EDGE+77.1%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
PelisterAnalysis MetricsFMP Akademija
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.33
151.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.33
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pelister
W · 79-88L · 75-69W · 77-75W · 71-99W · 117-87
FMP Akademija
L · 76-96L · 108-103L · 92-63L · 84-91W · 83-102
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.28 | Pelister | 98 : 89 | FMP Akademija |
| 2023.12.03 | FMP Akademija | 85 : 112 | Pelister |
| 2023.02.06 | Pelister | 81 : 67 | FMP Akademija |
| 2022.10.26 | FMP Akademija | 70 : 79 | Pelister |
| 2022.01.24 | Pelister | 94 : 73 | FMP Akademija |
| 2021.10.10 | FMP Akademija | 66 : 89 | Pelister |
| 2021.05.22 | FMP Akademija | 45 : 87 | Pelister |
| 2021.05.20 | Pelister | 89 : 84 | FMP Akademija |
| 2021.03.07 | Pelister | 100 : 72 | FMP Akademija |
| 2020.12.24 | FMP Akademija | 67 : 95 | Pelister |