Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Macedonia · 10

StrumicaHOME · -

90 : 852022.12.18 · 종료

KumanovoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY60.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +60.3%

VALUE EDGE+60.3%

FAIR ODDS1.66

GRADEA

StrumicaAnalysis MetricsKumanovo

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-2.83 Point MarginHigher is better -14.75

162.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.58

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.9 / 15

Prediction separation8.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

39.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

60.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Strumica

L · 84-111L · 89-80L · 84-92L · 102-80L · 66-102

Kumanovo

L · 83-102L · 119-83W · 82-70L · 86-72L · 78-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.25	Strumica	124 : 108	Kumanovo
2023.05.15	Kumanovo	91 : 92	Strumica
2023.04.10	Kumanovo	89 : 82	Strumica
2022.12.18	Strumica	90 : 85	Kumanovo
2018.02.03	Kumanovo	93 : 76	Strumica
2017.10.30	Strumica	66 : 90	Kumanovo