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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 10
GostivarHOME · -
100 : 832022.12.18 · 종료
KozuvAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.7%
VALUE EDGE+64.7%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
GostivarAnalysis MetricsKozuv
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better +0.50
164.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.00
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.9 / 15
Prediction separation12.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gostivar
W · 86-68L · 82-70W · 102-80W · 83-93W · 87-76
Kozuv
L · 78-88L · 96-84W · 97-89L · 103-80L · 79-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.02.15Gostivar72 : 91Kozuv
2024.03.24Gostivar104 : 73Kozuv
2023.12.03Kozuv102 : 67Gostivar
2023.04.09Kozuv94 : 87Gostivar
2022.12.18Gostivar100 : 83Kozuv
2022.04.10Kozuv78 : 80Gostivar
2021.12.19Gostivar97 : 68Kozuv
2021.03.21Gostivar75 : 81Kozuv
2021.03.04Kozuv90 : 74Gostivar
2019.05.07Gostivar84 : 72Kozuv