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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 9
KumanovoHOME · -
83 : 1022022.12.11 · 종료
FMP AkademijaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.3%
VALUE EDGE+65.3%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
KumanovoAnalysis MetricsFMP Akademija
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-14.75 Point MarginHigher is better -15.33
172.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.33
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation13.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kumanovo
L · 119-83W · 82-70L · 86-72L · 78-81L · 89-66
FMP Akademija
W · 89-80L · 66-109L · 120-84L · 83-93L · 77-58

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.18Kumanovo81 : 115FMP Akademija
2023.04.30FMP Akademija78 : 68Kumanovo
2023.04.05FMP Akademija88 : 72Kumanovo
2022.12.11Kumanovo83 : 102FMP Akademija
2022.05.18FMP Akademija75 : 109Kumanovo
2022.04.28Kumanovo88 : 84FMP Akademija
2022.02.13FMP Akademija84 : 68Kumanovo
2021.11.02Kumanovo74 : 77FMP Akademija
2021.02.08Kumanovo72 : 66FMP Akademija
2020.11.08FMP Akademija91 : 89Kumanovo