Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Macedonia · 8

FMP AkademijaHOME · -

89 : 802022.12.05 · 종료

StrumicaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.1%

VALUE EDGE+59.1%

FAIR ODDS1.69

GRADEA

FMP AkademijaAnalysis MetricsStrumica

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-15.33 Point MarginHigher is better -2.83

165.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.50

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.7 / 15

Prediction separation7.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

FMP Akademija

L · 66-109L · 120-84L · 83-93L · 77-58L · 70-79

Strumica

L · 84-92L · 102-80L · 66-102L · 114-101W · 98-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.23	FMP Akademija	91 : 87	Strumica
2023.05.07	Strumica	92 : 102	FMP Akademija
2023.03.26	Strumica	94 : 99	FMP Akademija
2022.12.05	FMP Akademija	89 : 80	Strumica