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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 8
RabotnickiHOME · -
119 : 832022.12.04 · 종료
KumanovoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.3%
VALUE EDGE+61.3%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADES
RabotnickiAnalysis MetricsKumanovo
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-5.75 Point MarginHigher is better -14.75
162.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.58
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
5.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rabotnicki
W · 84-92W · 120-84W · 83-82L · 87-76L · 47-66
Kumanovo
W · 82-70L · 86-72L · 78-81L · 89-66W · 92-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.26Kumanovo54 : 82Rabotnicki
2022.12.04Rabotnicki119 : 83Kumanovo
2022.05.22Kumanovo107 : 79Rabotnicki
2022.05.01Rabotnicki98 : 92Kumanovo
2022.04.10Kumanovo72 : 54Rabotnicki
2021.12.19Rabotnicki97 : 81Kumanovo
2021.04.07Rabotnicki79 : 72Kumanovo
2021.03.14Kumanovo95 : 70Rabotnicki
2019.05.10Rabotnicki97 : 71Kumanovo
2019.04.08Kumanovo57 : 75Rabotnicki