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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 6
MZT SkopjeHOME · -
86 : 722022.11.23 · 종료
KumanovoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.9%
VALUE EDGE+68.9%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADES
MZT SkopjeAnalysis MetricsKumanovo
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-5.33 Point MarginHigher is better -14.75
153.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.58
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MZT Skopje
L · 101-97W · 66-102L · 77-94W · 77-58L · 93-73
Kumanovo
L · 78-81L · 89-66W · 92-78L · 84-58L · 79-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.15Kumanovo68 : 88MZT Skopje
2022.11.23MZT Skopje86 : 72Kumanovo
2022.02.03Kumanovo65 : 70MZT Skopje
2021.10.23MZT Skopje86 : 71Kumanovo
2021.05.22Kumanovo99 : 95MZT Skopje
2021.05.20MZT Skopje88 : 71Kumanovo
2021.05.06MZT Skopje76 : 83Kumanovo
2021.04.10Kumanovo87 : 93MZT Skopje
2019.05.16MZT Skopje92 : 57Kumanovo
2019.04.26Kumanovo80 : 87MZT Skopje