Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 6

GostivarHOME · -
102 : 802022.11.20 · 종료
StrumicaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME83.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+83.4%
VALUE EDGE+83.4%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEB
GostivarAnalysis MetricsStrumica
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.83
164.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.50
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gostivar
W · 83-93W · 87-76W · 90-83W · 79-80W · 91-79
Strumica
L · 66-102L · 114-101W · 98-92L · 88-86L · 84-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.12 | Strumica | 72 : 79 | Gostivar |
| 2022.11.20 | Gostivar | 102 : 80 | Strumica |
| 2018.03.25 | Gostivar | 94 : 49 | Strumica |
| 2017.12.18 | Strumica | 60 : 92 | Gostivar |