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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 4
MZT SkopjeHOME · -
77 : 582022.11.01 · 종료
FMP AkademijaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.3%
VALUE EDGE+74.3%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADES
MZT SkopjeAnalysis MetricsFMP Akademija
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-5.33 Point MarginHigher is better -15.33
153.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.33
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MZT Skopje
L · 93-73W · 47-66W · 92-79L · 79-80L · 89-66
FMP Akademija
L · 70-79L · 79-62W · 79-75L · 68-76W · 79-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.31FMP Akademija67 : 105MZT Skopje
2023.12.08MZT Skopje79 : 72FMP Akademija
2023.02.14FMP Akademija86 : 102MZT Skopje
2022.11.01MZT Skopje77 : 58FMP Akademija
2022.04.09FMP Akademija87 : 98MZT Skopje
2021.12.24MZT Skopje96 : 70FMP Akademija
2021.04.01MZT Skopje95 : 61FMP Akademija
2021.03.14FMP Akademija85 : 73MZT Skopje