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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 3
FMP AkademijaHOME · -
70 : 792022.10.26 · 종료
PelisterAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.3%
VALUE EDGE+54.3%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
FMP AkademijaAnalysis MetricsPelister
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-15.33 Point MarginHigher is better -5.17
165.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.67
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
10.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation3.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Akademija
L · 79-62W · 79-75L · 68-76W · 79-94L · 75-109
Pelister
W · 71-67W · 65-75W · 92-76L · 91-79L · 93-102

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.28Pelister98 : 89FMP Akademija
2023.12.03FMP Akademija85 : 112Pelister
2023.02.06Pelister81 : 67FMP Akademija
2022.10.26FMP Akademija70 : 79Pelister
2022.01.24Pelister94 : 73FMP Akademija
2021.10.10FMP Akademija66 : 89Pelister
2021.05.22FMP Akademija45 : 87Pelister
2021.05.20Pelister89 : 84FMP Akademija
2021.03.07Pelister100 : 72FMP Akademija
2020.12.24FMP Akademija67 : 95Pelister