Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Macedonia · 2

TikveshHOME · -

84 : 582022.10.16 · 종료

KumanovoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY29.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +70.6%

VALUE EDGE+70.6%

FAIR ODDS1.42

GRADEA

TikveshAnalysis MetricsKumanovo

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-6.00 Point MarginHigher is better -14.75

153.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.58

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

70.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

29.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Tikvesh

W · 84-95L · 91-83W · 90-89L · 94-83W · 93-63

Kumanovo

L · 79-87L · 94-64W · 107-79W · 75-109L · 72-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.01.30	Kumanovo	63 : 72	Tikvesh
2022.10.16	Tikvesh	84 : 58	Kumanovo
2022.03.21	Kumanovo	67 : 75	Tikvesh
2021.11.21	Tikvesh	87 : 69	Kumanovo
2021.03.07	Kumanovo	78 : 79	Tikvesh