Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 1
GostivarHOME · -
91 : 792022.10.09 · 종료
PelisterAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.4%
VALUE EDGE+60.4%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
GostivarAnalysis MetricsPelister
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.17
164.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.67
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gostivar
L · 87-80L · 72-85L · 84-89W · 60-73W · 78-70
Pelister
L · 93-102L · 86-62L · 91-76W · 91-83L · 90-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.12.14 | Pelister | 89 : 88 | Gostivar |
| 2023.10.02 | Gostivar | 75 : 68 | Pelister |
| 2023.01.20 | Pelister | 117 : 87 | Gostivar |
| 2022.10.09 | Gostivar | 91 : 79 | Pelister |
| 2022.05.16 | Gostivar | 84 : 89 | Pelister |
| 2022.04.28 | Pelister | 71 : 72 | Gostivar |
| 2022.04.03 | Gostivar | 64 : 81 | Pelister |
| 2021.12.10 | Pelister | 101 : 76 | Gostivar |
| 2021.03.14 | Gostivar | 80 : 100 | Pelister |
| 2021.01.28 | Pelister | 111 : 115 | Gostivar |