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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 1
FMP AkademijaHOME · -
79 : 752022.10.09 · 종료
KozuvAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.8%
VALUE EDGE+57.8%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
FMP AkademijaAnalysis MetricsKozuv
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-15.33 Point MarginHigher is better +0.50
165.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.00
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation6.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Akademija
L · 68-76W · 79-94L · 75-109W · 75-81L · 78-101
Kozuv
L · 80-84L · 79-94W · 76-108W · 73-72W · 66-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.28Kozuv91 : 72FMP Akademija
2024.04.18FMP Akademija85 : 90Kozuv
2024.03.10Kozuv88 : 60FMP Akademija
2023.11.19FMP Akademija93 : 83Kozuv
2023.01.22Kozuv108 : 103FMP Akademija
2022.10.09FMP Akademija79 : 75Kozuv
2022.05.21Kozuv79 : 94FMP Akademija
2022.05.01FMP Akademija68 : 74Kozuv
2022.01.30FMP Akademija92 : 64Kozuv
2021.10.17Kozuv69 : 76FMP Akademija