Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 1

FMP AkademijaHOME · -
79 : 752022.10.09 · 종료
KozuvAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.8%
VALUE EDGE+57.8%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
FMP AkademijaAnalysis MetricsKozuv
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-15.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.50
165.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.00
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation6.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Akademija
L · 68-76W · 79-94L · 75-109W · 75-81L · 78-101
Kozuv
L · 80-84L · 79-94W · 76-108W · 73-72W · 66-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.28 | Kozuv | 91 : 72 | FMP Akademija |
| 2024.04.18 | FMP Akademija | 85 : 90 | Kozuv |
| 2024.03.10 | Kozuv | 88 : 60 | FMP Akademija |
| 2023.11.19 | FMP Akademija | 93 : 83 | Kozuv |
| 2023.01.22 | Kozuv | 108 : 103 | FMP Akademija |
| 2022.10.09 | FMP Akademija | 79 : 75 | Kozuv |
| 2022.05.21 | Kozuv | 79 : 94 | FMP Akademija |
| 2022.05.01 | FMP Akademija | 68 : 74 | Kozuv |
| 2022.01.30 | FMP Akademija | 92 : 64 | Kozuv |
| 2021.10.17 | Kozuv | 69 : 76 | FMP Akademija |