Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 6
GostivarHOME · -
78 : 702022.05.09 · 종료
TikveshAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.1%
VALUE EDGE+59.1%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
GostivarAnalysis MetricsTikvesh
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.42
164.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.42
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.3 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gostivar
W · 92-85L · 77-55W · 71-72L · 82-72W · 78-80
Tikvesh
L · 76-67L · 100-83W · 87-73L · 79-63W · 82-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.21 | Tikvesh | 97 : 85 | Gostivar |
| 2023.10.16 | Gostivar | 67 : 106 | Tikvesh |
| 2023.04.02 | Gostivar | 85 : 65 | Tikvesh |
| 2022.05.09 | Gostivar | 78 : 70 | Tikvesh |
| 2022.04.17 | Tikvesh | 82 : 72 | Gostivar |
| 2021.10.03 | Tikvesh | 88 : 77 | Gostivar |
| 2021.05.22 | Gostivar | 68 : 74 | Tikvesh |
| 2021.05.20 | Tikvesh | 90 : 79 | Gostivar |
| 2021.02.07 | Tikvesh | 89 : 99 | Gostivar |
| 2020.11.09 | Gostivar | 96 : 87 | Tikvesh |