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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Macedonia · 2
MZT SkopjeHOME · -
79 : 632022.04.26 · 종료
TikveshAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.9%
VALUE EDGE+58.9%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
MZT SkopjeAnalysis MetricsTikvesh
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-5.33 Point MarginHigher is better -4.42
153.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.42
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MZT Skopje
L · 73-69W · 87-98W · 87-74W · 93-87W · 68-77
Tikvesh
W · 82-72W · 104-72W · 68-87W · 91-82W · 67-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.10.29MZT Skopje71 : 61Tikvesh
2023.03.29Tikvesh61 : 81MZT Skopje
2022.12.07MZT Skopje77 : 51Tikvesh
2022.05.12Tikvesh75 : 95MZT Skopje
2022.04.26MZT Skopje79 : 63Tikvesh
2022.01.30MZT Skopje81 : 67Tikvesh
2021.10.19Tikvesh69 : 75MZT Skopje
2021.06.07MZT Skopje89 : 78Tikvesh
2021.06.05Tikvesh91 : 95MZT Skopje
2021.06.03MZT Skopje83 : 81Tikvesh