Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Macedonia · 1
KozuvHOME · -
72 : 892022.04.17 · 종료
KumanovoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.0%
VALUE EDGE+66.0%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADES
KozuvAnalysis MetricsKumanovo
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+0.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.75
161.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.58
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation13.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kozuv
L · 78-80W · 72-76W · 73-87W · 95-80L · 78-63
Kumanovo
W · 72-54W · 62-70L · 91-76L · 67-75L · 95-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.05 | Kozuv | 94 : 76 | Kumanovo |
| 2022.10.23 | Kumanovo | 92 : 78 | Kozuv |
| 2022.05.12 | Kumanovo | 66 : 73 | Kozuv |
| 2022.04.17 | Kozuv | 72 : 89 | Kumanovo |
| 2022.03.14 | Kozuv | 95 : 80 | Kumanovo |
| 2021.11.15 | Kumanovo | 85 : 89 | Kozuv |
| 2021.04.11 | Kozuv | 79 : 76 | Kumanovo |
| 2021.03.28 | Kumanovo | 88 : 73 | Kozuv |
| 2019.05.19 | Kumanovo | 87 : 74 | Kozuv |
| 2019.05.03 | Kozuv | 20 : 0 | Kumanovo |