Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Macedonia · 19

KumanovoHOME · -

67 : 752022.03.21 · 종료

TikveshAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY66.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +66.8%

VALUE EDGE+66.8%

FAIR ODDS1.50

GRADES

KumanovoAnalysis MetricsTikvesh

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-14.75 Point MarginHigher is better -4.42

172.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.42

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement15.0 / 15

Prediction separation14.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

33.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

66.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kumanovo

L · 95-80L · 60-79L · 84-68L · 65-70L · 109-100

Tikvesh

W · 84-88W · 78-63L · 93-84W · 86-74W · 80-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.01.30	Kumanovo	63 : 72	Tikvesh
2022.10.16	Tikvesh	84 : 58	Kumanovo
2022.03.21	Kumanovo	67 : 75	Tikvesh
2021.11.21	Tikvesh	87 : 69	Kumanovo
2021.03.07	Kumanovo	78 : 79	Tikvesh