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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Total League Women Luxembourg · 4
Esch WHOME · -
96 : 622024.03.24 · 종료
Mersch WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW59 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 75/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +53.4%
VALUE EDGE+53.4%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEC
Esch WAnalysis MetricsMersch W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 42.9%
-7.67 Point MarginHigher is better -7.14
148.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 135.71
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

59/100 LOW
Data coverage15.2 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample8.8 / 10
Model agreement9.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.2 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
53.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Esch W
W · 68-99W · 73-66L · 55-77W · 43-98L · 76-91
Mersch W
W · 72-67L · 93-64W · 59-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.28Mersch W50 : 99Esch W
2024.03.24Esch W96 : 62Mersch W