Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Total League
Luxembourg · Total League - Quarter-finals
EschHOME · -
82 : 692023.04.02 · 종료
WalferdangeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.8%
VALUE EDGE+76.8%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
EschAnalysis MetricsWalferdange
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-3.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.92
160.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.42
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
2.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Esch
L · 80-76W · 91-80W · 90-74W · 73-80W · 90-79
Walferdange
W · 80-76L · 91-80L · 88-76L · 112-88L · 82-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Esch | 78 : 74 | Walferdange |
| 2023.04.02 | Esch | 82 : 69 | Walferdange |
| 2023.03.31 | Walferdange | 80 : 76 | Esch |
| 2023.03.26 | Esch | 91 : 80 | Walferdange |
| 2023.01.22 | Walferdange | 80 : 95 | Esch |
| 2022.10.23 | Esch | 71 : 82 | Walferdange |
| 2022.01.29 | Esch | 67 : 70 | Walferdange |
| 2021.10.31 | Walferdange | 72 : 96 | Esch |
| 2021.04.15 | Esch | 101 : 63 | Walferdange |
| 2020.10.11 | Walferdange | 86 : 93 | Esch |