Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Total League
Luxembourg
HeffingenHOME · -
77 : 742023.03.05 · 종료
Musel PikesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.3%
VALUE EDGE+60.3%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
HeffingenAnalysis MetricsMusel Pikes
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.83
160.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.00
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Heffingen
L · 89-73L · 77-84L · 78-70L · 109-62W · 70-66
Musel Pikes
L · 102-74L · 68-76L · 106-91L · 74-77L · 75-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.13 | Heffingen | 69 : 64 | Musel Pikes |
| 2023.03.26 | Musel Pikes | 94 : 77 | Heffingen |
| 2023.03.05 | Heffingen | 77 : 74 | Musel Pikes |
| 2022.11.20 | Musel Pikes | 79 : 54 | Heffingen |
| 2021.12.05 | Heffingen | 70 : 64 | Musel Pikes |
| 2021.09.26 | Musel Pikes | 66 : 82 | Heffingen |
| 2021.05.09 | Musel Pikes | 70 : 74 | Heffingen |
| 2021.03.14 | Heffingen | 73 : 80 | Musel Pikes |