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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Total League Luxembourg
ConternHOME · -
95 : 712022.12.18 · 종료
Musel PikesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
ConternAnalysis MetricsMusel Pikes
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-9.83 Point MarginHigher is better +2.83
175.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.00
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Contern
L · 92-76L · 82-99L · 96-73L · 78-86W · 87-92
Musel Pikes
W · 75-63W · 75-82L · 81-70W · 79-54L · 54-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.12.18Contern95 : 71Musel Pikes
2022.10.09Musel Pikes87 : 93Contern
2022.04.24Contern78 : 74Musel Pikes
2022.04.03Musel Pikes91 : 70Contern
2022.03.06Contern79 : 75Musel Pikes
2021.11.15Musel Pikes66 : 100Contern
2021.05.02Contern86 : 76Musel Pikes
2021.03.07Musel Pikes77 : 88Contern