Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Total League Luxembourg

ConternHOME · -

78 : 862022.11.13 · 종료

EschAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY62.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +62.2%

VALUE EDGE+62.2%

FAIR ODDS1.61

GRADES

ConternAnalysis MetricsEsch

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-6.42 Point MarginHigher is better -3.42

173.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.75

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation10.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

37.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

62.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Contern

W · 87-92W · 76-89W · 95-72L · 82-79L · 85-105

Esch

W · 91-79W · 58-62L · 71-82W · 52-66W · 91-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.02.12	Esch	90 : 79	Contern
2022.11.13	Contern	78 : 86	Esch
2022.02.10	Contern	74 : 67	Esch
2021.10.10	Esch	77 : 54	Contern
2021.06.03	Esch	100 : 90	Contern
2021.05.06	Esch	102 : 98	Contern
2021.03.11	Contern	87 : 93	Esch