Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Total League Luxembourg

EttelbruckHOME · -

107 : 822022.09.26 · 종료

ConternAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY25.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +74.3%

VALUE EDGE+74.3%

FAIR ODDS1.35

GRADES

EttelbruckAnalysis MetricsContern

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+7.75 Point MarginHigher is better -6.42

167.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.92

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

74.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

25.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ettelbruck

L · 77-71L · 88-94W · 63-85W · 81-62W · 71-79

Contern

W · 77-93W · 78-74W · 81-63L · 85-82L · 91-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.12.04	Contern	82 : 99	Ettelbruck
2022.09.26	Ettelbruck	107 : 82	Contern
2022.02.13	Ettelbruck	102 : 86	Contern
2021.04.04	Contern	77 : 88	Ettelbruck
2020.10.03	Ettelbruck	110 : 90	Contern