경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primera División
Peru · Clausura - 9
Atletico GrauHOME · 2.32
3 : 12026.09.14 · 종료
Alianza AtleticoAWAY · 2.92
HOME · 현재 순위
11위
승점 13
· 8경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
4위
승점 16
· 8경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.7%
DRAW27.8%
AWAY32.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME39.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승37.9%표본 206경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승37.8%현재 이동 +10.5%
OPEN → NOW2.10 → 2.32배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 23:44:15
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Atletico GrauL · 4-2W · 1-0D · 2-2W · 1-3W · 1-0
Alianza AtleticoW · 3-2W · 1-4D · 1-1W · 3-1D · 1-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME64 SNAPSHOTS
+19.54%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW64 SNAPSHOTS
-6.77%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY64 SNAPSHOTS
-18.10%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-12 00:15:18 | 2.11 | 3.22 | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-13 00:12:41 | 2.17 | 3.18 | 3.15 |
| 2026-09-13 00:44:14 | 2.18 | 3.21 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-13 00:44:15 | 2.16 | 3.15 | 3.12 |
| 2026-09-13 01:13:27 | 2.18 | 3.21 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-13 01:13:28 | 2.16 | 3.15 | 3.12 |
| 2026-09-13 01:43:54 | 2.19 | 3.20 | 3.17 |
| 2026-09-13 01:43:55 | 2.16 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 2026-09-13 02:13:08 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-13 02:43:53 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-13 03:12:41 | 2.24 | 3.20 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-13 03:12:42 | 2.16 | 3.14 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 03:43:26 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-13 04:12:26 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-13 04:42:41 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-13 05:13:27 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 05:13:28 | 2.22 | 3.15 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-13 05:43:26 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-13 06:12:36 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-13 06:44:40 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 06:44:41 | 2.22 | 3.15 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-13 07:12:58 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-13 07:43:07 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.06 |
| 2026-09-13 08:13:04 | 2.22 | 3.17 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 08:43:27 | 2.23 | 3.20 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 08:43:28 | 2.21 | 3.14 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-13 09:12:27 | 2.22 | 3.17 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 09:43:15 | 2.22 | 3.18 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-13 09:43:16 | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-13 10:12:28 | 2.22 | 3.17 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 10:42:38 | 2.22 | 3.17 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 11:13:17 | 2.22 | 3.17 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 11:42:39 | 2.22 | 3.17 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 12:12:38 | 2.22 | 3.17 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 12:44:15 | 2.23 | 3.20 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 12:44:16 | 2.21 | 3.14 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-13 13:12:28 | 2.22 | 3.17 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 13:42:41 | 2.23 | 3.20 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 13:42:42 | 2.21 | 3.14 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-13 14:12:40 | 2.25 | 3.17 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-13 14:43:56 | 2.25 | 3.17 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-13 15:12:27 | 2.28 | 3.19 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-13 15:12:28 | 2.20 | 3.12 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-13 15:53:23 | 2.25 | 3.17 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-13 16:34:46 | 2.28 | 3.19 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-13 16:34:47 | 2.20 | 3.12 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-13 17:13:54 | 2.38 | 3.15 | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-13 17:53:53 | 2.38 | 3.15 | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-13 18:35:23 | 2.37 | 3.13 | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-13 18:35:24 | 2.41 | 3.22 | 2.82 |
| 2026-09-13 19:13:35 | 2.38 | 3.15 | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-13 19:54:31 | 2.38 | 3.15 | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-13 20:34:11 | 2.39 | 3.15 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-13 20:34:12 | 2.45 | 3.05 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-13 21:13:13 | 2.40 | 3.13 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-13 21:44:10 | 2.44 | 3.16 | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-13 21:44:11 | 2.35 | 3.10 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-13 22:13:29 | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-13 22:13:30 | 2.39 | 3.14 | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-13 22:44:47 | 2.50 | 3.05 | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-13 22:44:48 | 2.37 | 3.16 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-13 23:12:30 | 2.31 | 3.13 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-13 23:44:14 | 2.29 | 3.15 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-13 23:44:15 | 2.52 | 3.00 | 2.77 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.14 | Atletico Grau | 3 : 1 | Alianza Atletico |
| 2026.04.04 | Alianza Atletico | 2 : 2 | Atletico Grau |