경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera División Peru · Clausura - 8

FBC MelgarHOME · 1.32

3 : 02026.09.07 · 종료

ADTAWAY · 9.43

HOME · 현재 순위 11위 승점 11 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 17위 승점 2 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.4%

DRAW20.6%

AWAY17.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +7.2%

VALUE EDGE+7.2%

FAIR ODDS5.88

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 92/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +29.4%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +27.8%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +21.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

FBC Melgar분석 지표ADT

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.75

0.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.92

20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

5.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도13.0 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME70.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승76.2%표본 21경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.2%현재 이동 -5.1%

OPEN → NOW1.39 → 1.32배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:42:56

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

62.4%

DRAW

20.6%

AWAY

17.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

FBC Melgar

L · 1-0D · 1-1W · 0-3L · 2-4D · 0-0

ADT

L · 1-3W · 2-0L · 5-1D · 1-1D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME67 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.38

→

CURRENT1.32

-4.41%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW67 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.37

→

CURRENT4.65

+6.52%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY67 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN7.59

→

CURRENT9.31

+22.59%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:24	1.38	4.37	7.59
2026-09-05 12:15:29	1.38	4.30	8.17
2026-09-06 00:03:01	1.38	4.30	8.17
2026-09-06 00:33:33	1.38	4.28	8.13
2026-09-06 01:02:22	1.36	4.50	7.50
2026-09-06 01:02:23	1.39	4.24	8.25
2026-09-06 01:32:53	1.38	4.28	8.13
2026-09-06 02:02:21	1.38	4.28	8.13
2026-09-06 02:32:48	1.38	4.28	8.13
2026-09-06 03:02:57	1.38	4.33	7.97
2026-09-06 03:02:58	1.40	4.05	8.90
2026-09-06 03:33:00	1.38	4.28	8.13
2026-09-06 04:02:47	1.38	4.28	8.13
2026-09-06 04:32:58	1.38	4.28	8.13
2026-09-06 05:02:47	1.38	4.28	8.13
2026-09-06 05:33:04	1.37	4.50	7.25
2026-09-06 05:33:05	1.39	4.17	8.57
2026-09-06 06:02:44	1.38	4.28	8.13
2026-09-06 06:33:07	1.33	4.60	8.25
2026-09-06 06:33:08	1.34	4.43	9.67
2026-09-06 07:03:00	1.33	4.49	9.20
2026-09-06 07:33:15	1.33	4.49	9.20
2026-09-06 08:02:47	1.33	4.49	9.20
2026-09-06 08:33:24	1.33	4.51	8.77
2026-09-06 08:33:25	1.33	4.46	9.63
2026-09-06 09:02:39	1.33	4.49	9.20
2026-09-06 09:33:16	1.33	4.50	8.25
2026-09-06 09:33:17	1.33	4.48	9.67
2026-09-06 10:02:24	1.33	4.49	9.20
2026-09-06 10:33:00	1.33	4.44	8.77
2026-09-06 10:33:01	1.33	4.53	9.63
2026-09-06 11:02:53	1.33	4.49	9.20
2026-09-06 11:33:22	1.33	4.50	8.25
2026-09-06 11:33:23	1.33	4.48	9.67
2026-09-06 12:02:39	1.33	4.49	9.20
2026-09-06 12:33:42	1.31	4.69	9.08
2026-09-06 12:33:43	1.34	4.40	9.80
2026-09-06 13:02:46	1.32	4.64	9.20
2026-09-06 13:33:19	1.30	4.90	8.25
2026-09-06 13:33:20	1.33	4.52	9.67
2026-09-06 14:03:24	1.31	4.80	8.83
2026-09-06 14:03:25	1.35	4.33	9.95
2026-09-06 14:32:58	1.32	4.64	9.20
2026-09-06 15:03:26	1.30	4.90	8.25
2026-09-06 15:03:27	1.33	4.52	9.67
2026-09-06 15:32:42	1.33	4.62	9.13
2026-09-06 16:03:25	1.32	4.88	8.25
2026-09-06 16:03:26	1.33	4.49	9.57
2026-09-06 16:33:34	1.33	4.62	9.13
2026-09-06 17:03:00	1.33	4.75	8.50
2026-09-06 17:03:01	1.33	4.59	9.25
2026-09-06 17:33:49	1.33	4.62	9.13
2026-09-06 18:03:00	1.33	4.62	9.13
2026-09-06 18:34:37	1.32	4.62	9.21
2026-09-06 19:13:19	1.32	4.62	9.21
2026-09-06 19:54:55	1.32	4.68	9.09
2026-09-06 19:54:56	1.35	4.33	9.80
2026-09-06 20:33:17	1.32	4.62	9.21
2026-09-06 21:13:14	1.32	4.62	9.21
2026-09-06 21:43:12	1.31	4.73	9.00
2026-09-06 21:43:13	1.33	4.57	9.62
2026-09-06 22:13:39	1.31	4.80	9.00
2026-09-06 22:13:40	1.35	4.36	9.93
2026-09-06 22:43:14	1.32	4.65	9.31
2026-09-06 23:13:16	1.31	4.73	9.00
2026-09-06 23:13:17	1.33	4.57	9.62
2026-09-06 23:42:56	1.32	4.65	9.31

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.07	FBC Melgar	3 : 0	ADT
2026.03.21	ADT	1 : 1	FBC Melgar