경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera División Peru · Clausura - 8

Juan Pablo II CollegeHOME · 4.76

1 : 12026.09.07 · 종료

Alianza LimaAWAY · 1.67

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 11 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 9위 승점 12 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME17.6%

DRAW28.2%

AWAY54.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +3.2%

VALUE EDGE+3.2%

FAIR ODDS3.55

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 85/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +6.7%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -5.6%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -31.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -10.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Juan Pablo II College분석 지표Alianza Lima

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

8.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.8일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.6 / 15

예측 분리도11.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME19.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승18.6%표본 43경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승41.1%현재 이동 +5.8%

OPEN → NOW4.50 → 4.76배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:42:56

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

17.6%

DRAW

28.2%

AWAY

54.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Juan Pablo II College

W · 3-4W · 5-1L · 2-0D · 0-0L · 2-0

Alianza Lima

L · 0-1D · 1-1W · 1-0D · 1-1W · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME58 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.47

→

CURRENT4.72

+5.52%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW58 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.59

→

CURRENT3.70

+2.98%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY58 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.72

→

CURRENT1.66

-3.34%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:24	4.47	3.59	1.72
2026-09-05 12:15:29	4.60	3.63	1.70
2026-09-06 00:03:01	4.60	3.63	1.70
2026-09-06 00:33:33	4.61	3.59	1.70
2026-09-06 00:33:34	4.50	3.65	1.73
2026-09-06 01:02:23	4.58	3.61	1.71
2026-09-06 01:32:53	4.62	3.55	1.71
2026-09-06 01:32:54	4.53	3.67	1.71
2026-09-06 02:02:21	4.58	3.61	1.71
2026-09-06 02:32:48	4.58	3.61	1.71
2026-09-06 03:02:58	4.58	3.61	1.71
2026-09-06 03:33:01	4.58	3.61	1.71
2026-09-06 04:02:47	4.58	3.61	1.71
2026-09-06 04:32:58	4.58	3.61	1.71
2026-09-06 05:02:47	4.58	3.61	1.71
2026-09-06 05:33:05	4.58	3.61	1.71
2026-09-06 06:02:44	4.57	3.60	1.71
2026-09-06 06:02:45	4.58	3.65	1.72
2026-09-06 06:33:08	4.53	3.58	1.72
2026-09-06 07:03:00	4.53	3.58	1.72
2026-09-06 07:33:15	4.60	3.55	1.71
2026-09-06 07:33:16	4.46	3.62	1.73
2026-09-06 08:02:47	4.53	3.58	1.72
2026-09-06 08:33:25	4.58	3.56	1.71
2026-09-06 08:33:26	4.44	3.63	1.74
2026-09-06 09:02:39	4.53	3.58	1.72
2026-09-06 09:33:17	4.49	3.58	1.74
2026-09-06 10:02:24	4.49	3.58	1.74
2026-09-06 10:33:01	4.56	3.56	1.72
2026-09-06 10:33:02	4.34	3.62	1.76
2026-09-06 11:02:54	4.49	3.58	1.74
2026-09-06 11:33:23	4.49	3.58	1.74
2026-09-06 12:02:39	4.49	3.58	1.74
2026-09-06 12:33:43	4.49	3.58	1.74
2026-09-06 13:02:46	4.49	3.58	1.74
2026-09-06 13:33:20	4.49	3.58	1.74
2026-09-06 14:03:25	4.49	3.58	1.74
2026-09-06 14:32:58	4.49	3.58	1.74
2026-09-06 15:03:27	4.49	3.58	1.74
2026-09-06 15:32:42	4.41	3.56	1.75
2026-09-06 16:03:26	4.41	3.56	1.75
2026-09-06 16:33:34	4.47	3.51	1.74
2026-09-06 16:33:35	4.36	3.61	1.75
2026-09-06 17:03:01	4.41	3.56	1.75
2026-09-06 17:33:50	4.41	3.56	1.75
2026-09-06 18:03:00	4.41	3.56	1.75
2026-09-06 18:34:38	4.67	3.66	1.69
2026-09-06 19:13:19	4.67	3.66	1.69
2026-09-06 19:54:56	4.68	3.55	1.70
2026-09-06 19:54:57	4.67	3.71	1.68
2026-09-06 20:33:18	4.67	3.66	1.69
2026-09-06 21:13:14	4.66	3.65	1.68
2026-09-06 21:13:15	4.76	3.70	1.69
2026-09-06 21:43:13	4.72	3.70	1.66
2026-09-06 22:13:40	4.72	3.70	1.66
2026-09-06 22:43:15	4.72	3.70	1.66
2026-09-06 23:13:17	4.72	3.70	1.66
2026-09-06 23:42:56	4.72	3.70	1.66

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.07	Juan Pablo II College	1 : 1	Alianza Lima
2026.03.22	Alianza Lima	2 : 0	Juan Pablo II College