경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera División Peru · Clausura - 8

Alianza AtleticoHOME · 1.58

3 : 22026.09.05 · 종료

UTC CajamarcaAWAY · 5.25

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 13 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 17위 승점 2 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.6%

DRAW18.0%

AWAY12.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH92 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +11.0%

VALUE EDGE+11.0%

FAIR ODDS1.44

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +52.6%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +41.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +22.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Alianza Atletico분석 지표UTC Cajamarca

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

2.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.00

85.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

5.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

92/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.7 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME58.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승59.5%표본 79경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승48.9%현재 이동 -5.4%

OPEN → NOW1.67 → 1.58배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:18

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

69.6%

DRAW

18.0%

AWAY

12.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Alianza Atletico

W · 1-4D · 1-1W · 3-1D · 1-1W · 1-0

UTC Cajamarca

L · 2-4D · 1-1L · 1-3L · 1-0D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.65

→

CURRENT1.60

-2.92%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.71

→

CURRENT3.84

+3.71%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.72

→

CURRENT5.16

+9.24%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 02:32:17	1.65	3.71	4.72
2026-09-04 02:42:15	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 02:52:17	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 03:02:16	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 03:12:15	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 03:22:17	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 03:32:15	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 03:42:15	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 03:52:15	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 04:12:15	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 04:32:15	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 04:52:17	1.65	3.71	4.76
2026-09-04 04:52:18	1.66	3.70	4.95
2026-09-04 05:12:15	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 05:32:16	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 05:52:17	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 06:12:14	1.66	3.68	4.91
2026-09-04 06:12:15	1.65	3.72	4.75
2026-09-04 06:32:16	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 06:52:17	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 07:12:16	1.65	3.72	4.86
2026-09-04 07:12:17	1.65	3.69	4.73
2026-09-04 07:32:14	1.65	3.71	4.80
2026-09-04 07:52:16	1.63	3.73	5.12
2026-09-04 07:52:17	1.64	3.78	4.91
2026-09-04 08:12:16	1.63	3.76	5.00
2026-09-04 08:32:17	1.63	3.76	5.00
2026-09-04 08:52:17	1.63	3.76	5.00
2026-09-04 09:12:17	1.63	3.76	5.00
2026-09-04 09:32:17	1.63	3.76	5.00
2026-09-04 09:52:17	1.63	3.76	5.00
2026-09-04 10:12:15	1.63	3.76	5.00
2026-09-04 10:32:16	1.63	3.76	5.00
2026-09-04 10:52:16	1.64	3.68	5.08
2026-09-04 10:52:17	1.64	3.77	4.96
2026-09-04 11:12:16	1.64	3.75	4.99
2026-09-04 11:32:16	1.64	3.75	4.99
2026-09-04 11:52:16	1.64	3.75	4.99
2026-09-04 12:12:16	1.64	3.75	4.99
2026-09-04 12:32:17	1.64	3.75	4.99
2026-09-04 12:52:16	1.64	3.68	5.08
2026-09-04 12:52:17	1.64	3.77	4.96
2026-09-04 13:12:15	1.63	3.71	5.08
2026-09-04 13:12:16	1.64	3.76	4.95
2026-09-04 13:32:15	1.64	3.75	4.99
2026-09-04 13:52:16	1.64	3.75	5.20
2026-09-04 13:52:17	1.63	3.77	4.99
2026-09-04 14:12:14	1.63	3.76	4.99
2026-09-04 14:12:15	1.64	3.83	5.13
2026-09-04 14:32:17	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 14:52:17	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 15:12:15	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 15:32:16	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 15:52:17	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 16:12:14	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 16:32:16	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 16:52:16	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 17:12:16	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 17:32:17	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 17:52:19	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 18:12:15	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 18:32:17	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 18:52:17	1.64	3.75	5.20
2026-09-04 18:52:18	1.63	3.77	4.99
2026-09-04 19:12:17	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 19:32:15	1.63	3.77	5.01
2026-09-04 19:52:18	1.63	3.77	4.98
2026-09-04 20:12:16	1.63	3.77	4.98
2026-09-04 20:32:17	1.63	3.77	4.98
2026-09-04 20:52:17	1.63	3.77	4.98
2026-09-04 21:12:16	1.63	3.77	4.98
2026-09-04 21:32:17	1.63	3.77	4.98
2026-09-04 21:52:18	1.63	3.77	4.98
2026-09-04 22:12:16	1.63	3.77	4.98
2026-09-04 22:32:17	1.63	3.77	4.98
2026-09-04 22:52:19	1.60	3.84	5.16
2026-09-04 23:12:20	1.58	3.84	5.27
2026-09-04 23:12:21	1.62	3.85	4.99
2026-09-04 23:32:16	1.60	3.84	5.16
2026-09-04 23:52:18	1.60	3.84	5.16

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	Alianza Atletico	3 : 2	UTC Cajamarca
2026.08.26	Alianza Atletico	1 : 1	UTC Cajamarca
2026.03.23	UTC Cajamarca	1 : 1	Alianza Atletico