경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera División Chile · Regular Season - 22

PalestinoHOME · 1.66

2 : 12026.09.07 · 종료

Universidad de ConcepcionAWAY · 4.54

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 33 · 21경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 22 · 21경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.3%

DRAW10.5%

AWAY6.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 56.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +27.8%

VALUE EDGE+27.8%

FAIR ODDS1.20

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +58.1%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +44.4%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +30.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +11.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Palestino분석 지표Universidad de Concepcion

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

1.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.75

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

75.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

9.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.1 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME55.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승61.2%표본 129경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.6%현재 이동 +0.3%

OPEN → NOW1.65 → 1.66배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:42:34

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

83.3%

DRAW

10.5%

AWAY

6.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Palestino

L · 2-0W · 0-1W · 5-1L · 2-1W · 2-1

Universidad de Concepcion

L · 1-0W · 2-1L · 3-1L · 0-2L · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME66 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.64

→

CURRENT1.66

+0.91%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW66 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.80

→

CURRENT3.79

-0.39%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY66 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.69

→

CURRENT4.55

-3.09%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:14	1.64	3.80	4.69
2026-09-05 12:15:16	1.65	3.78	4.62
2026-09-06 00:02:33	1.65	3.78	4.62
2026-09-06 00:32:47	1.65	3.65	4.63
2026-09-06 00:32:48	1.65	3.84	4.61
2026-09-06 01:02:11	1.65	3.78	4.62
2026-09-06 01:32:24	1.66	3.78	4.62
2026-09-06 01:32:25	1.62	3.75	4.58
2026-09-06 02:02:11	1.65	3.78	4.62
2026-09-06 02:32:22	1.65	3.78	4.62
2026-09-06 03:02:33	1.65	3.71	4.65
2026-09-06 03:02:34	1.65	3.84	4.58
2026-09-06 03:32:27	1.65	3.78	4.62
2026-09-06 03:32:32	1.66	3.77	4.64
2026-09-06 03:32:33	1.62	3.80	4.57
2026-09-06 04:02:23	1.65	3.78	4.63
2026-09-06 04:32:31	1.65	3.71	4.65
2026-09-06 04:32:32	1.65	3.84	4.61
2026-09-06 05:02:25	1.65	3.78	4.63
2026-09-06 05:32:34	1.65	3.78	4.63
2026-09-06 06:02:23	1.65	3.78	4.63
2026-09-06 06:32:37	1.65	3.78	4.62
2026-09-06 07:02:31	1.65	3.78	4.62
2026-09-06 07:32:40	1.65	3.78	4.62
2026-09-06 08:02:26	1.65	3.78	4.62
2026-09-06 08:32:43	1.65	3.65	4.63
2026-09-06 08:32:44	1.65	3.84	4.61
2026-09-06 09:02:21	1.65	3.74	4.61
2026-09-06 09:02:22	1.65	3.87	4.62
2026-09-06 09:32:40	1.65	3.79	4.63
2026-09-06 10:02:12	1.65	3.79	4.63
2026-09-06 10:32:30	1.65	3.79	4.63
2026-09-06 11:02:27	1.65	3.79	4.63
2026-09-06 11:32:40	1.65	3.71	4.65
2026-09-06 11:32:41	1.66	3.86	4.61
2026-09-06 12:02:19	1.65	3.79	4.63
2026-09-06 12:32:51	1.65	3.65	4.63
2026-09-06 12:32:52	1.66	3.86	4.63
2026-09-06 13:02:25	1.65	3.79	4.63
2026-09-06 13:32:41	1.65	3.71	4.65
2026-09-06 13:32:42	1.66	3.86	4.61
2026-09-06 14:02:44	1.65	3.79	4.63
2026-09-06 14:32:33	1.65	3.79	4.63
2026-09-06 15:02:42	1.65	3.79	4.63
2026-09-06 15:02:44	1.65	3.79	4.60
2026-09-06 15:32:20	1.65	3.72	4.59
2026-09-06 15:32:21	1.66	3.86	4.61
2026-09-06 16:02:43	1.65	3.79	4.60
2026-09-06 16:32:47	1.65	3.72	4.59
2026-09-06 16:32:48	1.66	3.86	4.61
2026-09-06 17:02:29	1.65	3.79	4.60
2026-09-06 17:32:56	1.65	3.60	4.33
2026-09-06 17:32:57	1.65	3.83	4.65
2026-09-06 18:02:29	1.66	3.65	4.42
2026-09-06 18:02:30	1.66	3.85	4.62
2026-09-06 18:33:22	1.66	3.79	4.55
2026-09-06 19:12:43	1.66	3.79	4.55
2026-09-06 19:53:28	1.66	3.79	4.55
2026-09-06 20:32:41	1.66	3.79	4.55
2026-09-06 21:12:38	1.66	3.79	4.55
2026-09-06 21:42:37	1.66	3.79	4.55
2026-09-06 22:12:44	1.66	3.79	4.55
2026-09-06 22:42:37	1.66	3.65	4.42
2026-09-06 22:42:38	1.66	3.85	4.62
2026-09-06 23:12:37	1.66	3.79	4.55
2026-09-06 23:42:34	1.66	3.79	4.55

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.07	Palestino	2 : 1	Universidad de Concepcion
2026.03.16	Universidad de Concepcion	1 : 0	Palestino