LIVE 28 오늘 1,062경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Primera División Chile · Regular Season - 22
ConcepciónHOME · 2.10
0 : 12026.09.05 · 종료
A. ItalianoAWAY · 3.44
HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 30 · 21경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 13위 승점 22 · 21경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.5%
DRAW22.1%
AWAY15.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +18.1%
VALUE EDGE+18.1%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +31.5%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +25.0%p
STANDING_PPG HOME +17.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.7%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE
Concepción분석 지표A. Italiano
75.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%
1.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00
0.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25
85.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%
6.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.1일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.0 / 10
모델 일치도12.1 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승41.9%표본 148경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승44.9%현재 이동 +2.4%
OPEN → NOW2.05 → 2.10배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:32:47

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
62.5%
DRAW
22.1%
AWAY
15.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Concepción
W · 0-1D · 1-1W · 0-2W · 1-0W · 3-0
A. Italiano
L · 5-1D · 0-0D · 1-1D · 2-2W · 0-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+12.0%+6.0%0.0%-6.0%-12.0%09/04 00:1509/05 04:1209/05 11:3209/05 18:1209/05 23:32HOME · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 00:15:15HOME · 배당 1.96 · 변동 -3.37% · 2026-09-04 12:15:14HOME · 배당 1.96 · 변동 -3.44% · 2026-09-05 00:12:14HOME · 배당 1.96 · 변동 -3.44% · 2026-09-05 00:42:14HOME · 배당 1.96 · 변동 -3.44% · 2026-09-05 01:12:15HOME · 배당 1.96 · 변동 -3.44% · 2026-09-05 01:42:12HOME · 배당 1.96 · 변동 -3.44% · 2026-09-05 02:12:12HOME · 배당 1.96 · 변동 -3.44% · 2026-09-05 02:42:12HOME · 배당 1.96 · 변동 -3.44% · 2026-09-05 03:12:12HOME · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -2.36% · 2026-09-05 03:42:12HOME · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -2.36% · 2026-09-05 04:12:11HOME · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -2.36% · 2026-09-05 04:52:14HOME · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -2.36% · 2026-09-05 05:32:12HOME · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -2.36% · 2026-09-05 06:12:13HOME · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -2.36% · 2026-09-05 06:52:14HOME · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -2.36% · 2026-09-05 07:32:13HOME · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -2.36% · 2026-09-05 08:12:14HOME · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -2.36% · 2026-09-05 08:52:15HOME · 배당 1.98 · 변동 -2.45% · 2026-09-05 09:32:13HOME · 배당 1.98 · 변동 -2.45% · 2026-09-05 10:12:14HOME · 배당 1.98 · 변동 -2.45% · 2026-09-05 10:52:39HOME · 배당 1.98 · 변동 -2.86% · 2026-09-05 11:32:43HOME · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -2.24% · 2026-09-05 11:32:44HOME · 배당 1.98 · 변동 -2.45% · 2026-09-05 12:12:26HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +4.52% · 2026-09-05 12:52:44HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +4.52% · 2026-09-05 13:32:22HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +3.29% · 2026-09-05 14:12:37HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +4.77% · 2026-09-05 14:12:38HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +4.52% · 2026-09-05 14:52:48HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +3.49% · 2026-09-05 17:33:01HOME · 배당 2.23 · 변동 +9.69% · 2026-09-05 17:33:02HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +4.52% · 2026-09-05 18:12:35HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +3.29% · 2026-09-05 18:53:09HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +5.14% · 2026-09-05 18:53:10HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +4.52% · 2026-09-05 19:32:47HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +4.52% · 2026-09-05 20:12:24HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +3.49% · 2026-09-05 20:52:56HOME · 배당 2.23 · 변동 +9.69% · 2026-09-05 20:52:57HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +4.52% · 2026-09-05 21:32:21HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +4.52% · 2026-09-05 22:12:25HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +4.52% · 2026-09-05 22:52:43HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 +4.52% · 2026-09-05 23:32:47DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 00:15:15DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 +1.81% · 2026-09-04 12:15:14DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 00:12:14DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 00:42:14DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 01:12:15DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 01:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 02:12:12DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 02:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 03:12:12DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +1.06% · 2026-09-05 03:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +1.06% · 2026-09-05 04:12:11DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +1.06% · 2026-09-05 04:52:14DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +1.06% · 2026-09-05 05:32:12DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +1.06% · 2026-09-05 06:12:13DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +1.11% · 2026-09-05 06:52:14DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +1.11% · 2026-09-05 07:32:13DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +1.11% · 2026-09-05 08:12:14DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +1.11% · 2026-09-05 08:52:15DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-09-05 09:32:13DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-09-05 10:12:14DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-09-05 10:52:39DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -2.05% · 2026-09-05 11:32:43DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 +0.48% · 2026-09-05 11:32:44DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-09-05 12:12:26DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-09-05 12:52:44DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-09-05 13:32:22DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -8.17% · 2026-09-05 14:12:37DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-09-05 14:12:38DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-09-05 14:52:48DRAW · 배당 3.21 · 변동 -1.80% · 2026-09-05 17:33:01DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +1.62% · 2026-09-05 17:33:02DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-09-05 18:12:35DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -5.11% · 2026-09-05 18:53:09DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-09-05 18:53:10DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-09-05 19:32:47DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-09-05 20:12:24DRAW · 배당 3.21 · 변동 -1.80% · 2026-09-05 20:52:56DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +1.62% · 2026-09-05 20:52:57DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-09-05 21:32:21DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-09-05 22:12:25DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-09-05 22:52:43DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-09-05 23:32:47AWAY · 배당 3.49 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 00:15:15AWAY · 배당 3.66 · 변동 +4.88% · 2026-09-04 12:15:14AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.16% · 2026-09-05 00:12:14AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.16% · 2026-09-05 00:42:14AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.16% · 2026-09-05 01:12:15AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.16% · 2026-09-05 01:42:12AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.16% · 2026-09-05 02:12:12AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.16% · 2026-09-05 02:42:12AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.16% · 2026-09-05 03:12:12AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.30% · 2026-09-05 03:42:12AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.30% · 2026-09-05 04:12:11AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.30% · 2026-09-05 04:52:14AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.30% · 2026-09-05 05:32:12AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.30% · 2026-09-05 06:12:13AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.30% · 2026-09-05 06:52:14AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.30% · 2026-09-05 07:32:13AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.30% · 2026-09-05 08:12:14AWAY · 배당 3.67 · 변동 +5.30% · 2026-09-05 08:52:15AWAY · 배당 3.72 · 변동 +6.73% · 2026-09-05 09:32:13AWAY · 배당 3.72 · 변동 +6.73% · 2026-09-05 10:12:14AWAY · 배당 3.72 · 변동 +6.73% · 2026-09-05 10:52:39AWAY · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +3.24% · 2026-09-05 11:32:43AWAY · 배당 3.78 · 변동 +8.48% · 2026-09-05 11:32:44AWAY · 배당 3.72 · 변동 +6.73% · 2026-09-05 12:12:26AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-09-05 12:52:44AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-09-05 13:32:22AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -6.79% · 2026-09-05 14:12:37AWAY · 배당 3.50 · 변동 +0.32% · 2026-09-05 14:12:38AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-09-05 14:52:48AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-09-05 17:33:01AWAY · 배당 3.42 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-05 17:33:02AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-09-05 18:12:35AWAY · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -4.64% · 2026-09-05 18:53:09AWAY · 배당 3.52 · 변동 +1.02% · 2026-09-05 18:53:10AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-09-05 19:32:47AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-09-05 20:12:24AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-09-05 20:52:56AWAY · 배당 3.42 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-09-05 20:52:57AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-09-05 21:32:21AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-09-05 22:12:25AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-09-05 22:52:43AWAY · 배당 3.46 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-09-05 23:32:47
HOME42 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.03
→
CURRENT2.13
+4.52%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW42 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.27
→
CURRENT3.23
-1.23%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY42 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.49
→
CURRENT3.46
-0.87%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-04 00:15:152.033.273.49
2026-09-04 12:15:141.963.333.66
2026-09-05 00:12:141.963.323.67
2026-09-05 00:42:141.963.323.67
2026-09-05 01:12:151.963.323.67
2026-09-05 01:42:121.963.323.67
2026-09-05 02:12:121.963.323.67
2026-09-05 02:42:121.963.323.67
2026-09-05 03:12:121.963.323.67
2026-09-05 03:42:121.993.303.67
2026-09-05 04:12:111.993.303.67
2026-09-05 04:52:141.993.303.67
2026-09-05 05:32:121.993.303.67
2026-09-05 06:12:131.993.303.67
2026-09-05 06:52:141.993.303.67
2026-09-05 07:32:131.993.303.67
2026-09-05 08:12:141.993.303.67
2026-09-05 08:52:151.993.303.67
2026-09-05 09:32:131.983.263.72
2026-09-05 10:12:141.983.263.72
2026-09-05 10:52:391.983.263.72
2026-09-05 11:32:431.983.203.60
2026-09-05 11:32:441.993.283.78
2026-09-05 12:12:261.983.263.72
2026-09-05 12:52:442.133.233.46
2026-09-05 13:32:222.133.233.46
2026-09-05 14:12:372.103.003.25
2026-09-05 14:12:382.133.273.50
2026-09-05 14:52:482.133.233.46
2026-09-05 17:33:012.103.213.46
2026-09-05 17:33:022.233.323.42
2026-09-05 18:12:352.133.233.46
2026-09-05 18:53:092.103.103.33
2026-09-05 18:53:102.143.293.52
2026-09-05 19:32:472.133.233.46
2026-09-05 20:12:242.133.233.46
2026-09-05 20:52:562.103.213.46
2026-09-05 20:52:572.233.323.42
2026-09-05 21:32:212.133.233.46
2026-09-05 22:12:252.133.233.46
2026-09-05 22:52:432.133.233.46
2026-09-05 23:32:472.133.233.46

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.05Concepción0 : 1A. Italiano
2026.03.14A. Italiano3 : 0Concepción