경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera División Chile · Regular Season - 21

Union La CaleraHOME · 2.17

0 : 12026.09.01 · 종료

D. La SerenaAWAY · 3.06

HOME · 현재 순위 16위 승점 14 · 20경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 10위 승점 24 · 20경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.3%

DRAW22.6%

AWAY29.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 39.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +5.7%

VALUE EDGE+5.7%

FAIR ODDS2.07

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 79/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -3.3%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +13.9%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -23.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Union La Calera분석 지표D. La Serena

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83

20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

9.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.8 / 15

예측 분리도8.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME42.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승45.3%표본 307경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.7%현재 이동 +0.9%

OPEN → NOW2.15 → 2.17배당 업데이트 2026-08-31 23:42:21

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

48.3%

DRAW

22.6%

AWAY

29.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Union La Calera

D · 0-0L · 2-1L · 1-2W · 0-4L · 4-0

D. La Serena

D · 3-3W · 0-2D · 1-1L · 1-2D · 3-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.16

→

CURRENT2.18

+1.32%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.34

→

CURRENT3.34

+0.09%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.10

→

CURRENT3.07

-0.72%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-31 13:42:07	2.16	3.34	3.10
2026-08-31 13:52:23	2.14	3.32	3.07
2026-08-31 13:52:24	2.20	3.42	3.20
2026-08-31 14:02:16	2.14	3.32	3.07
2026-08-31 14:02:17	2.20	3.42	3.20
2026-08-31 14:12:16	2.14	3.32	3.07
2026-08-31 14:12:17	2.20	3.42	3.20
2026-08-31 14:22:31	2.15	3.33	2.95
2026-08-31 14:22:32	2.14	3.32	3.09
2026-08-31 14:22:33	2.20	3.42	3.20
2026-08-31 14:32:27	2.15	3.34	3.06
2026-08-31 14:32:28	2.16	3.34	3.12
2026-08-31 14:42:13	2.16	3.34	3.10
2026-08-31 14:52:24	2.16	3.33	3.08
2026-08-31 14:52:25	2.16	3.35	3.11
2026-08-31 15:02:22	2.15	3.33	3.08
2026-08-31 15:02:23	2.21	3.45	3.25
2026-08-31 15:12:12	2.15	3.45	3.00
2026-08-31 15:12:13	2.16	3.33	3.10
2026-08-31 15:22:29	2.16	3.35	3.08
2026-08-31 15:22:30	2.16	3.33	3.12
2026-08-31 15:32:20	2.15	3.33	3.08
2026-08-31 15:32:21	2.21	3.45	3.25
2026-08-31 15:42:18	2.15	3.33	3.08
2026-08-31 15:42:19	2.19	3.40	3.20
2026-08-31 15:52:27	2.16	3.35	3.08
2026-08-31 15:52:28	2.16	3.33	3.12
2026-08-31 16:02:25	2.15	3.45	3.00
2026-08-31 16:02:26	2.15	3.32	3.09
2026-08-31 16:02:27	2.19	3.40	3.20
2026-08-31 16:12:16	2.15	3.33	2.95
2026-08-31 16:12:17	2.16	3.34	3.12
2026-08-31 16:22:35	2.15	3.45	3.00
2026-08-31 16:22:36	2.15	3.32	3.08
2026-08-31 16:22:37	2.17	3.35	3.13
2026-08-31 16:32:35	2.15	3.33	3.07
2026-08-31 16:32:36	2.17	3.35	3.13
2026-08-31 16:42:17	2.16	3.34	3.10
2026-08-31 16:52:36	2.15	3.33	3.08
2026-08-31 16:52:37	2.21	3.45	3.25
2026-08-31 17:02:25	2.15	3.33	3.07
2026-08-31 17:02:26	2.17	3.35	3.13
2026-08-31 17:12:29	2.16	3.33	3.08
2026-08-31 17:12:30	2.16	3.35	3.11
2026-08-31 17:22:40	2.15	3.33	3.08
2026-08-31 17:22:41	2.19	3.40	3.20
2026-08-31 17:32:27	2.16	3.34	3.10
2026-08-31 17:42:21	2.15	3.33	3.07
2026-08-31 17:42:22	2.17	3.35	3.13
2026-08-31 17:52:36	2.15	3.33	3.08
2026-08-31 17:52:37	2.19	3.40	3.20
2026-08-31 18:02:25	2.15	3.32	3.06
2026-08-31 18:02:26	2.18	3.39	3.18
2026-08-31 18:22:32	2.15	3.32	3.05
2026-08-31 18:22:33	2.16	3.35	3.12
2026-08-31 18:42:21	2.15	3.34	3.06
2026-08-31 18:42:22	2.16	3.34	3.12
2026-08-31 19:02:32	2.16	3.34	3.10
2026-08-31 19:22:44	2.15	3.45	3.00
2026-08-31 19:22:45	2.16	3.33	3.10
2026-08-31 19:42:23	2.16	3.34	3.11
2026-08-31 20:02:29	2.15	3.28	3.03
2026-08-31 20:02:30	2.17	3.36	3.13
2026-08-31 20:22:34	2.16	3.33	3.10
2026-08-31 20:22:35	2.21	3.45	3.25
2026-08-31 20:42:31	2.15	3.32	3.05
2026-08-31 20:42:32	2.17	3.35	3.14
2026-08-31 21:02:26	2.15	3.33	2.95
2026-08-31 21:02:27	2.16	3.34	3.14
2026-08-31 21:22:34	2.15	3.34	3.06
2026-08-31 21:22:35	2.17	3.34	3.15
2026-08-31 21:42:23	2.16	3.34	3.11
2026-08-31 22:02:42	2.15	3.32	3.05
2026-08-31 22:02:43	2.17	3.35	3.14
2026-08-31 22:22:37	2.16	3.34	3.11
2026-08-31 22:42:24	2.18	3.34	3.07
2026-08-31 23:02:44	2.17	3.34	3.05
2026-08-31 23:02:45	2.24	3.37	3.15
2026-08-31 23:22:33	2.18	3.34	3.07
2026-08-31 23:42:21	2.18	3.34	3.07

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.01	Union La Calera	0 : 1	D. La Serena
2026.06.08	D. La Serena	0 : 2	Union La Calera
2026.03.29	Union La Calera	2 : 1	D. La Serena
2026.03.07	D. La Serena	3 : 0	Union La Calera