LIVE 50 오늘 261경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Primera División Chile · Regular Season - 21
NublenseHOME · 2.15
0 : 12026.08.30 · 종료
ConcepciónAWAY · 3.62
HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 32 · 19경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 27 · 20경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.4%
DRAW23.3%
AWAY16.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +17.0%
VALUE EDGE+17.0%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +36.5%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +36.1%p
STANDING_PPG HOME +10.4%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.7%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE
Nublense분석 지표Concepción
50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%
1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67
1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.42
83.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.3일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.0 / 10
모델 일치도11.3 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME43.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승56.0%표본 50경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.5%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW2.15 → 2.15배당 업데이트 2026-08-30 23:33:23

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
60.4%
DRAW
23.3%
AWAY
16.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Nublense
W · 1-2W · 2-1D · 2-2W · 1-0W · 2-0
Concepción
D · 1-1W · 0-2W · 1-0W · 3-0W · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+8.0%+4.0%0.0%-4.0%-8.0%08/30 14:2208/30 17:0308/30 19:0208/30 21:3308/30 23:33HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 14:22:23HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 14:32:22HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:02:24HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:32:21HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.04% · 2026-08-30 16:02:48HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -0.01% · 2026-08-30 16:02:49HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-08-30 16:33:45HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-08-30 16:33:46HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 17:03:20HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-08-30 17:33:26HOME · 배당 2.16 · 변동 +0.66% · 2026-08-30 17:33:27HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-08-30 18:03:07HOME · 배당 2.16 · 변동 +0.66% · 2026-08-30 18:03:08HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-08-30 18:34:05HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 -0.50% · 2026-08-30 18:34:06HOME · 배당 2.16 · 변동 +0.66% · 2026-08-30 18:34:07HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 19:02:53HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 19:33:45HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.04% · 2026-08-30 20:03:08HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -0.01% · 2026-08-30 20:03:09HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 -0.58% · 2026-08-30 20:33:48HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +1.75% · 2026-08-30 20:33:49HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 21:02:56HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-08-30 21:33:29HOME · 배당 2.16 · 변동 +0.66% · 2026-08-30 21:33:30HOME · 배당 2.12 · 변동 -1.09% · 2026-08-30 22:03:22HOME · 배당 2.16 · 변동 +0.54% · 2026-08-30 22:03:23HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 -0.58% · 2026-08-30 22:33:43HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +1.75% · 2026-08-30 22:33:44HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-08-30 23:03:21HOME · 배당 2.25 · 변동 +4.85% · 2026-08-30 23:03:22HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 -0.47% · 2026-08-30 23:33:22HOME · 배당 2.16 · 변동 +0.66% · 2026-08-30 23:33:23DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 14:22:23DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 14:32:22DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:02:24DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:32:21DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 -2.28% · 2026-08-30 16:02:48DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.76% · 2026-08-30 16:02:49DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.39% · 2026-08-30 16:33:45DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +1.08% · 2026-08-30 16:33:46DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 17:03:20DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -0.39% · 2026-08-30 17:33:26DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.78% · 2026-08-30 17:33:27DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -0.39% · 2026-08-30 18:03:07DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.78% · 2026-08-30 18:03:08DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.39% · 2026-08-30 18:34:05DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +1.28% · 2026-08-30 18:34:06DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.78% · 2026-08-30 18:34:07DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 19:02:53DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 19:33:45DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 -2.28% · 2026-08-30 20:03:08DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.76% · 2026-08-30 20:03:09DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.72% · 2026-08-30 20:33:48DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 +2.17% · 2026-08-30 20:33:49DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 21:02:56DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -0.39% · 2026-08-30 21:33:29DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.78% · 2026-08-30 21:33:30DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-08-30 22:03:22DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.44% · 2026-08-30 22:03:23DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.72% · 2026-08-30 22:33:43DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 +2.17% · 2026-08-30 22:33:44DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +0.01% · 2026-08-30 23:03:21DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -0.06% · 2026-08-30 23:03:22DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-08-30 23:33:22DRAW · 배당 2.98 · 변동 -0.72% · 2026-08-30 23:33:23AWAY · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 14:22:23AWAY · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 14:32:22AWAY · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:02:24AWAY · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:32:21AWAY · 배당 3.51 · 변동 -1.68% · 2026-08-30 16:02:48AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-08-30 16:02:49AWAY · 배당 3.55 · 변동 -0.47% · 2026-08-30 16:33:45AWAY · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.09% · 2026-08-30 16:33:46AWAY · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 17:03:20AWAY · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -0.92% · 2026-08-30 17:33:26AWAY · 배당 3.63 · 변동 +1.85% · 2026-08-30 17:33:27AWAY · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -0.92% · 2026-08-30 18:03:07AWAY · 배당 3.63 · 변동 +1.85% · 2026-08-30 18:03:08AWAY · 배당 3.55 · 변동 -0.47% · 2026-08-30 18:34:05AWAY · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-08-30 18:34:06AWAY · 배당 3.63 · 변동 +1.85% · 2026-08-30 18:34:07AWAY · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 19:02:53AWAY · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 19:33:45AWAY · 배당 3.51 · 변동 -1.68% · 2026-08-30 20:03:08AWAY · 배당 3.59 · 변동 +0.56% · 2026-08-30 20:03:09AWAY · 배당 3.54 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-08-30 20:33:48AWAY · 배당 3.63 · 변동 +1.87% · 2026-08-30 20:33:49AWAY · 배당 3.57 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 21:02:56AWAY · 배당 3.53 · 변동 -0.92% · 2026-08-30 21:33:29AWAY · 배당 3.63 · 변동 +1.85% · 2026-08-30 21:33:30AWAY · 배당 3.58 · 변동 +0.37% · 2026-08-30 22:03:22AWAY · 배당 3.56 · 변동 -0.19% · 2026-08-30 22:03:23AWAY · 배당 3.54 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-08-30 22:33:43AWAY · 배당 3.63 · 변동 +1.87% · 2026-08-30 22:33:44AWAY · 배당 3.55 · 변동 -0.34% · 2026-08-30 23:03:21AWAY · 배당 3.70 · 변동 +3.74% · 2026-08-30 23:03:22AWAY · 배당 3.58 · 변동 +0.37% · 2026-08-30 23:33:22AWAY · 배당 3.55 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-08-30 23:33:23
HOME33 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.15
→
CURRENT2.16
+0.66%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW33 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.00
→
CURRENT2.98
-0.72%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY33 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.57
→
CURRENT3.55
-0.52%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-08-30 14:22:232.153.003.57
2026-08-30 14:32:222.153.003.57
2026-08-30 15:02:242.153.003.57
2026-08-30 15:32:212.153.003.57
2026-08-30 16:02:482.152.933.51
2026-08-30 16:02:492.153.023.59
2026-08-30 16:33:452.152.843.55
2026-08-30 16:33:462.153.033.57
2026-08-30 17:03:202.153.003.57
2026-08-30 17:33:262.142.993.53
2026-08-30 17:33:272.163.033.63
2026-08-30 18:03:072.142.993.53
2026-08-30 18:03:082.163.033.63
2026-08-30 18:34:052.152.843.55
2026-08-30 18:34:062.143.043.53
2026-08-30 18:34:072.163.033.63
2026-08-30 19:02:532.153.003.57
2026-08-30 19:33:452.153.003.57
2026-08-30 20:03:082.152.933.51
2026-08-30 20:03:092.153.023.59
2026-08-30 20:33:482.132.983.54
2026-08-30 20:33:492.183.073.63
2026-08-30 21:02:562.153.003.57
2026-08-30 21:33:292.142.993.53
2026-08-30 21:33:302.163.033.63
2026-08-30 22:03:222.122.983.58
2026-08-30 22:03:232.163.023.56
2026-08-30 22:33:432.132.983.54
2026-08-30 22:33:442.183.073.63
2026-08-30 23:03:212.143.003.55
2026-08-30 23:03:222.253.003.70
2026-08-30 23:33:222.143.023.58
2026-08-30 23:33:232.162.983.55

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.08.30Nublense0 : 1Concepción
2026.03.07Concepción0 : 2Nublense