Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Total League
Luxembourg

ConternHOME · -
78 : 742022.04.24 · 종료
Musel PikesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.7%
VALUE EDGE+54.7%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
ConternAnalysis MetricsMusel Pikes
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.50
173.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.00
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation4.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Contern
W · 81-63L · 85-82L · 91-70L · 104-69W · 85-81
Musel Pikes
W · 79-68W · 64-101W · 65-58W · 91-70W · 67-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.12.18 | Contern | 95 : 71 | Musel Pikes |
| 2022.10.09 | Musel Pikes | 87 : 93 | Contern |
| 2022.04.24 | Contern | 78 : 74 | Musel Pikes |
| 2022.04.03 | Musel Pikes | 91 : 70 | Contern |
| 2022.03.06 | Contern | 79 : 75 | Musel Pikes |
| 2021.11.15 | Musel Pikes | 66 : 100 | Contern |
| 2021.05.02 | Contern | 86 : 76 | Musel Pikes |
| 2021.03.07 | Musel Pikes | 77 : 88 | Contern |