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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Total League Luxembourg
ConternHOME · -
81 : 632022.04.17 · 종료
HesperangeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +63.8%
VALUE EDGE+63.8%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
ConternAnalysis MetricsHesperange
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-6.42 Point MarginHigher is better -1.17
173.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.00
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation11.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
63.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Contern
L · 85-82L · 91-70L · 104-69W · 85-81W · 79-75
Hesperange
L · 64-101L · 65-58W · 93-78W · 104-69L · 80-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.17Contern81 : 63Hesperange
2022.03.27Hesperange104 : 69Contern
2021.12.20Hesperange85 : 93Contern
2021.10.04Contern97 : 99Hesperange
2021.05.23Contern101 : 57Hesperange
2021.03.26Hesperange57 : 91Contern