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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Total League Luxembourg
HesperangeHOME · -
64 : 1012022.04.10 · 종료
Musel PikesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.0%
VALUE EDGE+51.0%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
HesperangeAnalysis MetricsMusel Pikes
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+0.42 Point MarginHigher is better +1.50
162.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.00
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.2 / 15
Prediction separation0.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
49.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hesperange
L · 65-58W · 93-78W · 104-69L · 80-96L · 82-77
Musel Pikes
W · 65-58W · 91-70W · 67-89L · 79-75W · 82-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.10Hesperange64 : 101Musel Pikes
2022.04.06Musel Pikes65 : 58Hesperange
2022.02.13Musel Pikes82 : 77Hesperange
2021.11.13Hesperange90 : 69Musel Pikes
2021.04.04Musel Pikes80 : 65Hesperange
2020.10.03Hesperange69 : 78Musel Pikes