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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Total League Luxembourg
Musel PikesHOME · -
65 : 582022.04.06 · 종료
HesperangeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.6%
VALUE EDGE+64.6%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Musel PikesAnalysis MetricsHesperange
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+1.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08
157.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation12.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Musel Pikes
W · 91-70W · 67-89L · 79-75W · 82-77W · 87-103
Hesperange
W · 93-78W · 104-69L · 80-96L · 82-77L · 90-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.10Hesperange64 : 101Musel Pikes
2022.04.06Musel Pikes65 : 58Hesperange
2022.02.13Musel Pikes82 : 77Hesperange
2021.11.13Hesperange90 : 69Musel Pikes
2021.04.04Musel Pikes80 : 65Hesperange
2020.10.03Hesperange69 : 78Musel Pikes