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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Total League Luxembourg
HesperangeHOME · -
104 : 692022.03.27 · 종료
ConternAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +58.6%
VALUE EDGE+58.6%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
HesperangeAnalysis MetricsContern
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better -6.42
161.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.92
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation7.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hesperange
L · 80-96L · 82-77L · 90-88L · 82-89W · 74-75
Contern
W · 85-81W · 79-75L · 102-86W · 74-67L · 74-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.17Contern81 : 63Hesperange
2022.03.27Hesperange104 : 69Contern
2021.12.20Hesperange85 : 93Contern
2021.10.04Contern97 : 99Hesperange
2021.05.23Contern101 : 57Hesperange
2021.03.26Hesperange57 : 91Contern