Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Total League
Luxembourg · Total League - Quarter-finals
EttelbruckHOME · -
81 : 622022.03.21 · 종료
LarochetteAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.3%
VALUE EDGE+59.3%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
EttelbruckAnalysis MetricsLarochette
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+10.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.33
167.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.00
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ettelbruck
W · 71-79W · 102-86W · 82-89L · 76-80W · 77-68
Larochette
W · 77-79W · 87-77W · 74-91L · 74-75L · 87-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.03 | Ettelbruck | 102 : 103 | Larochette |
| 2023.03.30 | Larochette | 90 : 81 | Ettelbruck |
| 2023.01.09 | Ettelbruck | 89 : 96 | Larochette |
| 2022.10.15 | Larochette | 66 : 78 | Ettelbruck |
| 2022.03.27 | Larochette | 63 : 85 | Ettelbruck |
| 2022.03.21 | Ettelbruck | 81 : 62 | Larochette |
| 2022.01.09 | Larochette | 82 : 86 | Ettelbruck |
| 2021.10.11 | Ettelbruck | 92 : 86 | Larochette |
| 2021.05.03 | Ettelbruck | 83 : 53 | Larochette |
| 2021.03.07 | Larochette | 85 : 75 | Ettelbruck |