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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Total League Luxembourg
ConternHOME · -
79 : 752022.03.06 · 종료
Musel PikesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.3%
VALUE EDGE+66.3%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
ConternAnalysis MetricsMusel Pikes
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-6.42 Point MarginHigher is better +1.50
173.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.00
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation14.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Contern
L · 102-86W · 74-67L · 74-91W · 73-102L · 85-92
Musel Pikes
W · 82-77W · 87-103W · 96-95W · 79-74W · 78-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.12.18Contern95 : 71Musel Pikes
2022.10.09Musel Pikes87 : 93Contern
2022.04.24Contern78 : 74Musel Pikes
2022.04.03Musel Pikes91 : 70Contern
2022.03.06Contern79 : 75Musel Pikes
2021.11.15Musel Pikes66 : 100Contern
2021.05.02Contern86 : 76Musel Pikes
2021.03.07Musel Pikes77 : 88Contern