Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania · NKL - Final
MazeikiaiHOME · -
65 : 692023.04.23 · 종료
Zalgiris Kaunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.6%
VALUE EDGE+50.6%
FAIR ODDS1.98
GRADEA
MazeikiaiAnalysis MetricsZalgiris Kaunas 2
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-11.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.67
165.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
191.00
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation0.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mazeikiai
W · 83-92W · 87-73W · 73-79W · 72-70W · 70-60
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 71-79W · 83-65W · 61-68W · 94-69W · 77-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.20 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 102 : 74 | Mazeikiai |
| 2026.01.10 | Mazeikiai | 78 : 91 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.11.26 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 72 : 93 | Mazeikiai |
| 2023.04.23 | Mazeikiai | 65 : 69 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2023.02.25 | Mazeikiai | 71 : 62 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2023.01.29 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 71 : 88 | Mazeikiai |
| 2022.12.16 | Mazeikiai | 63 : 74 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2022.10.20 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 85 : 73 | Mazeikiai |