Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania · NKL - Semi-finals
TelsiaiHOME · -
71 : 792023.04.22 · 종료
Zalgiris Kaunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.8%
VALUE EDGE+59.8%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADES
TelsiaiAnalysis MetricsZalgiris Kaunas 2
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+16.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.67
164.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
191.00
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
13.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation8.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Telsiai
W · 68-78W · 77-51W · 65-77L · 83-85L · 82-75
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 83-65W · 61-68W · 94-69W · 77-72W · 63-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.25 | Telsiai | 83 : 93 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2026.01.30 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 105 : 91 | Telsiai |
| 2025.10.03 | Telsiai | 88 : 90 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.02.22 | Telsiai | 74 : 66 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.01.04 | Telsiai | 69 : 76 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2024.10.05 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 63 : 76 | Telsiai |
| 2023.04.22 | Telsiai | 71 : 79 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2023.03.03 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 94 : 75 | Telsiai |
| 2023.02.04 | Telsiai | 75 : 87 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2023.01.15 | Telsiai | 67 : 59 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |