Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania · NKL - Quarter-finals
Kauno AtletasHOME · -
68 : 782023.04.08 · 종료
TelsiaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.8%
VALUE EDGE+61.8%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADES
Kauno AtletasAnalysis MetricsTelsiai
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-13.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+16.33
171.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.67
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation10.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kauno Atletas
L · 77-51L · 65-77W · 83-85W · 98-72L · 71-63
Telsiai
W · 77-51W · 65-77L · 83-85L · 82-75W · 83-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.30 | Telsiai | 100 : 76 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2023.04.08 | Kauno Atletas | 68 : 78 | Telsiai |
| 2023.04.06 | Telsiai | 77 : 51 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2023.04.01 | Kauno Atletas | 65 : 77 | Telsiai |
| 2023.03.31 | Telsiai | 83 : 85 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2023.02.24 | Kauno Atletas | 74 : 87 | Telsiai |
| 2023.01.27 | Telsiai | 97 : 73 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2022.12.09 | Kauno Atletas | 68 : 67 | Telsiai |
| 2022.10.28 | Telsiai | 81 : 59 | Kauno Atletas |