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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania · NKL - Quarter-finals
Zalgiris Kaunas 2HOME · -
83 : 652023.04.06 · 종료
SiluteAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 84.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.4%
VALUE EDGE+80.4%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Analysis MetricsSilute
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-2.67 Point MarginHigher is better +2.17
191.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.50
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 61-68W · 94-69W · 77-72W · 63-86W · 66-82
Silute
L · 61-68L · 94-69W · 84-78W · 77-79W · 81-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.01.17Silute111 : 80Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2024.12.13Silute80 : 76Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2024.10.18Zalgiris Kaunas 272 : 87Silute
2023.04.06Zalgiris Kaunas 283 : 65Silute
2023.04.02Silute61 : 68Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2023.03.31Zalgiris Kaunas 294 : 69Silute
2023.03.04Silute66 : 82Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2023.02.03Zalgiris Kaunas 290 : 60Silute
2022.11.25Silute84 : 52Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2022.10.08Zalgiris Kaunas 281 : 64Silute