Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania · NKL - Quarter-finals
TelsiaiHOME · -
77 : 512023.04.06 · 종료
Kauno AtletasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.3%
VALUE EDGE+74.3%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADES
TelsiaiAnalysis MetricsKauno Atletas
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+16.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.25
164.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.92
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Telsiai
W · 65-77L · 83-85L · 82-75W · 83-67L · 94-75
Kauno Atletas
L · 65-77W · 83-85W · 98-72L · 71-63W · 85-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.30 | Telsiai | 100 : 76 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2023.04.08 | Kauno Atletas | 68 : 78 | Telsiai |
| 2023.04.06 | Telsiai | 77 : 51 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2023.04.01 | Kauno Atletas | 65 : 77 | Telsiai |
| 2023.03.31 | Telsiai | 83 : 85 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2023.02.24 | Kauno Atletas | 74 : 87 | Telsiai |
| 2023.01.27 | Telsiai | 97 : 73 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2022.12.09 | Kauno Atletas | 68 : 67 | Telsiai |
| 2022.10.28 | Telsiai | 81 : 59 | Kauno Atletas |